U.S. May Soon See Sharp Drop in Omicron Cases, Experts Say

WEDNESDAY, 12 January 2022 – Experts report that Omicron’s surge in activity has peaked in Britain and may be about to do the same in the US.

This is because the COVID-19 variant that was first detected in South Africa in mid-November is so contagious that the variant may already run out of people to infect it, News agency mentioned.

In Britain, government data shows that new cases of COVID-19 reported fell to around 140,000 a day in the past week, compared to more than 200,000 a day earlier this month.

Meanwhile, the University of Washington model suggests that the number of cases reported per day in the United States will exceed 1.2 million by January 19 and then decline sharply, “simply because everyone who can get infected will become infected,” Ali Mikdad, professor of metrology. health at the university, he said AP.

“It will go down as fast as it is rising,” Al-Miqdad added.

He even suggested that the actual number of daily infections in the US – which includes people who have never been tested – may already have peaked at 6 million on Jan. 6.

Another team, from the University of Texas COVID-19 Models Consortium, expects that cases reported in the United States will peak during the week, but “there are still a lot of people who will become infected when we get off the slope on the backside,” said Consortium Director Lauren Ansel Meyers for AP.

“At the end of this wave, many more people will be infected with some form of COVID,” Myers added. “At some point, we’ll be able to draw a line – and Omicron may be that point – as we go from a catastrophic global threat to something more manageable.”

Modeling statistics raised hopes that the UK and US are about to see what happened in South Africa, where in about a month the wave reached record highs and then waned, AP mentioned.

“We are seeing a clear reduction in the number of cases in the UK, but I would like to see them drop a lot more before we know if what happened in South Africa will happen here,” Dr. Paul Hunter, professor of medicine at the University of East Anglia, told the British news service. “There will likely be some ups and downs along the way, but I hope by Easter we’ll be out of this.”

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